I’ve been following the election polls closely (like a junkie) as well as the “wisdom of the market” over at Intrade, where people bet on all sorts of things happening. Obama’s lead there has been growing steadily lately, but I was surprised to see today, the night after the second debate, that the market betters are edging into certainty about Obama. Still a month out, but here’s how the wisdom of I’m-putting-my-cash-on-this-horse is looking right now: